Greenwich, CT Residential Real Estate Blog and Analysis: January 30th
Saturday, January 31, 2015 at 10:53AM
Jared Randall
 
Greenwich, CT Residential Real Estate Blog and Analysis:  
January 30th
A weekly analysis brought to you by Greenwich Real Estate Guy.
 

There are times when I walk into a home and everything feels perfect.  This is the feeling I had when I toured 2 Oneida Drive #E in downtown Greenwich.  As you know location is the most important aspect to me in buying real estate.  In my opinion that is what makes this so unique.  To have a new construction home, on the water, with exceptional views, but be able to walk to all that Greenwich Avenue offers is very rare.  The Harbor consists of 11 luxury homes and condominiums across the street from the Delamar Hotel.  One of the many perks is that homeowners of the Harbor receive complimentary concierge services,  charging privileges, and special rates from the Delamar Hotel during the first year.  Services range from use of the facilities, including the fitness center and room service, to maid services and dockage.  The house itself has 6,695 s.f. consisting of three fireplaces, an elevator, 10' ceilings, and custom cabinetry.  Outside of the home, I  was attracted to the views, the outdoor space and especially the decor.  The interior was professionally designed by Lauren Muse ofMuse Interiors.  The outdoor space consists of a roof top terrace with an outdoor kitchen and a spa with the breathtaking views.  The price is $5.295M, and the association is already 36% sold.

As you can see below 2015 is off to a non-descript beginning.  There are 517 properties for sale in Greenwich currently, 418 of which are single family homes.  We had 41 properties sell on the MLS.  However, the real impressive aspect is that we have 89 properties under contract.  This is an abnormally  high number and should point to a strong 1st quarter.

We typically see the market start to pick up after the Super Bowl.  However, in February we have public and private school recesses so should be in full swing in beginning of March.

When looking at 2014 as a whole it was a very surprising year.  We finished 2013 with a flurry of activity and started 2014 with that activity.  The year as a whole however ended up 6.2% down in total transactions.  However, the average sales price was up 19.8%.  The median sale price was up 11.1%.  Even the average price per square foot was up 9.9%.
When looking at all of this data we get a clearer picture.  Ultimately the high end market was extraordinary.  The over $10M market which has been hit so hard lately was up 87% over last year.  Obviously, this causes the median and average prices to jump.  We had an incredible year, especially in the high end.  When we hear that the average price per home is up, the median price is up, the amount per s.f. is up, it would be easy to say we had the year of all years.  Conversely, if we said that the amount of transactions is down 6.2% we could say it was a slow year.  As most times, the truth lies in the middle.  In 2013 we saw the activity jump from 2012, but most of that was in the under $2M range and especially under $1m.  This year, the inventory of these markets were lacking all year.  In turn, that really affected the activity, and is where we saw most of the activity in 2013.  The under $1M properties sold dropped 12% from 2013.  The $1M-$2M dropped and even more astounding 21%.  These price points have been the pulse of the market and is the reason that the activity dropped 6%.  

In my opinion overall, the market in 2014 was good, and could have been great if we had more inventory, especially in the under $2M market.  Everything points to a robust market in 2015.  As mentioned, the activity for the year was down about 6%.  However, when you look at November and December of this year we are up 7.5% on activity vs. 2013.  

I have also included a link to the 4th Quarter Market Report my firm puts out for your review.

4th Quarter Report
 

I have invested in my own MLS Search for my readers.  This will give access to a lot of the listing information I have.  Also, if I have already set you up with your personal portal, you will now be able to search your own searches outside of what I set up for you.  Feel free to test out and search properties.  I feel the best attribute is that you can save your own search and choose to get alerts as new properties come on to the market, properties are sold, or change in price.  All specific to your customized search.  Hence, you will speed up your learning curve, becoming an expert in the specific market you care about.

 

Please let me know if you would like me to provide customized information or statistics for you based on your criteria.

 **The information on the featured property and all statistical information is from the Greenwich MLS.

 **All opinions garnered from the statistics are my own

Properties Sold

 

When looking above, you can see that we are off to an average January.

 

New Listings

The new listings are on par with the past few years.

 

  
Year to Date Sold
Year to Date Sold
Year to Date Sold

The value in these two charts are comparing the market of what is available vs. what has sold.  Obviously, we are only one month in, so each transaction would have a more profound impact on each graph.

 
Year to Date Available
  

 

In an effort to define the different markets as a good time to buy or sale I believe one needs to look at the months on average it would take to sell through the inventory we have.  This one below is the amount of months on average to sell through our current inventory based on 2014 ytd sold numbers by price range.

  

 

Price Range 1/31/14 2/28/14 3/28/14 4/25/14 5/16/14 7/31/14 12/31/14
0-$500K 10.2 6.0 7.0 6.1 5.5 5.6 3
$500K-$1M 9.7 8.6 9.0 8.7 8.6 5.2 3.7
$1M-$1.5M 5.5 9.5 8.9 10.3 7.8 6.4 4.4
$1.5M-$2M 8 14.5 13.6 18.4 17.8 11 6.7
$2M-$3M 4.7 9.2 11.6 14.3 14.2 11.1 7
$3M-$4M 11 13.1 11.8 14.2 14.5 10.4 9
$4M-$5M 11.9 8.9 13.1 14.4 22.1 17.7 18.4
$5M-$7.5M 20.7 32.0 39.5 59 56.6 32 25.1
$7.5M-$10M n/a n/a 71.5 51 31.5 59.5 21.6
$10M+ 22.4 27.2 42.0 22.7 33.8 29.9 35.2

As you can see the market needs more inventory in under $3M range and continue to see improvement in the higher price ranges.  Obviously, in times of lower inventory it dramatically changes the numbers.  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


Open Houses for February 1st
  
 
 Below are the 2 Open houses for this week.

 

 

Street Name Area List Price Time Listing Office
7 Woodland Drive #2 Greenwich $3.5K 1-3 p.m. Davenport
6 Rockland Place Old Greenwich $725K 1-4 p.m. BHHS
7 Brookside Park Old Greenwich $995K 12-3 p.m. Re/Max
51 Lockwood Avenue Old Greenwich $1.395M 12-3 p.m. BHHS
30 Stag Lane Greenwich $1.499M 12:30-3 p.m. Real Living
365 Round Hill Road Greenwich $1.695M 1-3 p.m. Davenport
233 Milbank #6 Greenwich $1.795M 2-4 p.m. Houlihan Lawrence
233 Milbank #8 Greenwich $1.795M 2-4 p.m. Houlihan Lawrence
233-5 Milbank Avenue Greenwich $1.95M 2-4 p.m. Houlihan Lawrence
55 Shore Road Old Greenwich $1.999M 1-3 p.m. Coldwell Banker
233-1 Milbank Avenue Greenwich $2.05M 2-4 p.m. Houlihan Lawrence
233 Milbank Avenue #2 Greenwich $2.05M 2-4 p.m. Houlihan Lawrence
16 Crescent Road Riverside $2.295M 1-3 p.m. Coldwell Banker
65 Winthrop Drive Riverside $2.295M 1-3 p.m. Douglas Elliman
17 Lincoln Avenue Greenwich $2.795M 1-4 p.m. Sotheby's
129 Clapboard Ridge Greenwich $3.45M 1-3 p.m. Coldwell Banker
35 Upland Drive Greenwich $3.795M 12-2 p.m. Raveis
70 Sherwood Avenue Greenwich $3.975M Sat 10-4 Charles Paternina
8 Willow Road Riverside $4.095M 1-3 p.m. Coldwell Banker
26 Stillman Lane Greenwich $4.85M 1-3 p.m. Coldwell Banker
22 Stillman Lane Greenwich $4.995M 1-3 p.m. Coldwell Banker
 

 

 

 

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Mortgage Information

 

 

There are two individuals I feel most confident about when it comes to home mortgages.  One in Manhattan and one in Greenwich.  They are Jeff Ihrig of First Republic in Manhattan, and in Greenwich I prefer Treena David-Chirico of Wells Fargo NMLSR ID 404288.

 

 

Jeff can be reached at 646-372-5181.  Treena's phone number is 203-618-3923.  You can go to her website to input your specific information to receive rates.  Her website is www.wfhm.com/treena-david-chirico.

 

Article originally appeared on jaredrandall (http://www.greenwichrealestateguy.com/).
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