Greenwich, CT Residential Real Estate Blog and Analysis: September 19th
Tuesday, September 30, 2014 at 4:50PM
Jared Randall
Greenwich, CT Residential Real Estate Blog and Analysis:  
September 19th
  
A weekly analysis brought to you by Greenwich Real Estate Guy.
 
Dear Jared,  
    
  

 

 

The magnificent home above is located at 475 Round Hill Road.  This sprawling traditional estate is set on four spectacular rolling acres complete with a horse barn and Gunite pool.  Personally I loved the details from the great front door to the incredible floors, and custom moldings.  There are six bedrooms six full baths, with one half bath on 4.2 acres.  The home is 8,359 s.f. has a beautiful kitchen, screened in porch for your cocktail hours, and great master suite.  The home is currently listed at $8.25M.

 

Last week we discussed the price per square foot metric.  One of the many reasons I decided to work for Houlihan Lawrence because of their research, statistics and reporting.  This is one of the reports I love the most.  This is just for the town of Greenwich (not including Riverside, Cos Cob or Old Greenwich).  This spells out the market better than most documents.  I can run this query based on your customized search if you would like as well.  However, for Greenwich, one can see the listings are up 7%, and the pending properties are up 4% while the sold properties are up 3% but the median sold price is up 20%.

 

Greenwich Overview

 

  In regards to price per square foot, I feel this is the best tool to look at.  Again, I can customize these, but for the point of this newsletter this is the analysis on the active properties in all of Riverside.

 

Riverside Active

 

Conversely, here are the numbers for the sold in Riverside:

 

Riverside Sold

 

As discussed over the summer we felt there would be an influx of inventory.  the market did not disappoint over the last two weeks as we currently have 714 properties for sale, up 40 from just two weeks ago.

  

In the amount of transactions August what was not disappointing which is a good sign.  Actually, we had the same amount (92) in August of 2013 as we did in 2014. This is the first month in a while that has not been below last year, which is a great sign.

 

If you look at the months on average to sell through the inventory I believe it best shows the market.  I have done two reports, one based on last year's activity and one based on this year's activity.  You will see that across the board the months on average are down year to date, which may seem counter intuitive if I am saying that the transactions are down.  However, the end of July is typical when the least amount of inventory is out there, due to being past the spring market and before the fall market.  Hence, when you compare it to the chart with the 2013 activity you see that the months on average are higher.

 

I have invested in my own MLS Search for my readers.  This will give access to a lot of the listing information I have.  Also, if I have already set you up with your personal portal, you will now be able to search your own searches outside of what I set up for you.  Feel free to test out and search properties.  I feel the best attribute is that you can save your own search and choose to get alerts as new properties come on to the market, properties are sold, or change in price.  All specific to your customized search.  Hence, you will speed up your learning curve, becoming an expert in the specific market you care about.

 

Please let me know if you would like me to provide customized information or statistics for you based on your criteria.

 

**The information on the featured property and all statistical information is from the Greenwich MLS.

 

**All opinions garnered from the statistics are my own

 

 

   
Properties Sold

 

We still cannot seem to catch up to last years number of transactions.  The year started off hot, and has since dwindled.  We are down 10-15% every month the last few months.  However, this month we at least equaled the amount as last year.

 

New Listings

We had 62 new listings last month as you can see sill higher than last year but on par with the few years before that.

 

 

  
Year to Date Sold

 

The percentages have leveled off and are sustaining, all percentages are the same vs. the end of last month.
 
Year to Date Available
  

 

In an effort to define the different markets as a good time to buy or sale I believe one needs to look at the months on average it would take to sell through the inventory we have.  This one below is the amount of months on average to sell through our current inventory based on 2014 ytd sold numbers by price range.

  

 

Price Range 1/31/14 2/28/14 3/28/14 4/25/14 5/16/14 7/31/14
0-$500K 10.2 6.0 7.0 6.1 5.5 5.6
$500K-$1M 9.7 8.6 9.0 8.7 8.6 5.2
$1M-$1.5M 5.5 9.5 8.9 10.3 7.8 6.4
$1.5M-$2M 8 14.5 13.6 18.4 17.8 11
$2M-$3M 4.7 9.2 11.6 14.3 14.2 11.1
$3M-$4M 11 13.1 11.8 14.2 14.5 10.4
$4M-$5M 11.9 8.9 13.1 14.4 22.1 17.7
$5M-$7.5M 20.7 32.0 39.5 59 56.6 32
$7.5M-$10M n/a n/a 71.5 51 31.5 59.5
$10M+ 22.4 27.2 42.0 22.7 33.8 29.9
 

 

 

I believe these chart above and below best show the Greenwich market.  If you look at the months on average to sell through the inventory I believe it best shows the market.  I have done two reports, one based on last year's activity and one based on this year's activity.  You will see that across the board the months on average are down year to date, which may seem counter intuitive if I am saying that the transactions are down.  However, the end of July is typical when the least amount of inventory is out there, due to being past the spring market and before the fall market.  Hence, when you compare it to the chart with the 2013 activity you see that the months on average are higher.
The chart below is the amount of months on average to sell through current inventory based on all of 2013 sold numbers by price range

 

 

 

Price Range 8/30/13 9/30/13 10/25/13 11/30/13 12/30/13 1/31/14 2/28/14 3/28/14 4/25/14 5/16/14 7/31/14
0-$500K 4.26 4.4 5.2 4.2 4 4.2 4 3.8 3.7 4 4.1
$500K-$1M 4.65 4.9 4.6 3.4 3.2 3 3.8 4.4 5.2 5.4 4.7
$1M-$1.5M 4.96 5.2 4.6 3.6 3 3.5 4 4.1 5.6 5.4 5.8
$1.5M-$2M 5.61 5.6 5.1 5 4.7 5 6.4 6.1 7.2 7.1 8.7
$2M-$3M 7.84 9.1 8.3 6.3 5.4 5.9 6.9 8 9.1 10.3 9.7
$3M-$4M 20.22 23.4 21.3 17.1 15.8 16.3 15.3 16.5 19.8 18.5 19.8
$4M-$5M 22 23.9 25.3 18.8 14.1 15 13.7 13.7 18 21 22.7
$5M-$7.5M 40.8 31.6 26.4 25 21.5 22.2 24 25.1 28.4 32 26.5
$7.5M-$10M 44.8 52.1 58.8 53.1 46.3 46.3 46.3 42.9 46.3 48 58.3
$10M+ 272 103.2 92.1 72.2 61.5 66 63 66 54 67.5 70.5

 

 

 

I find these two charts to be very intriguing.  One can see the huge discrepancy based on the 2013 numbers between the luxury market and under $3M.  However, at the top if we use the inventory based on the ytd sold numbers it is not as definitive. The luxury market is doing much better than last year and each market seems to be doing relatively well.

 

 

 

 

 

 


Open Houses for September 21st
  
 
 Below are the 44 open houses this weekend.  

 

 

 

Street Name Area Price Time Listing Office
64 Glenville Street #B Greenwich $2.5K 1-3 p.m. Houlihan Lawrence
5 Grove Street Cos Cob $4.5K 2-4 p.m. Coldwell Banker
52 Hunt Terrace Greenwich $5.8K 12-2 p.m. Coldwell Banker
14 Chateau Ridge Road Greenwich $13.5K 1:30-3:30 p.m. Coldwell Banker
1465 E. Putnam #616 Old Greenwich $350K 2-4 p.m. Coldwell Banker
1465 E. Putnam #427 Old Greenwich $370K 1-3 p.m. Raveis
53 Rodwell Avenue #A Greenwich $494K 1-3 p.m. Keller Williams
20 High Street Greenwich $549K 12-2 p.m. Coldwell Banker
453 Putnam Avenue #3B Cos Cob $565K 1-3 p.m. Weichert 
165 Pine Street Greenwich $575.5K 1-3 p.m. Weichert
6 Hartford Avenue Greenwich $649.5K 1-4 p.m. BHHS
27 Bridge Street Greenwich $679K 1-3 p.m. Sotheby's
25 Tremont Street Cos Cob $795K 1-3 p.m. Shore and Country  
9 Georgetown North Greenwich $825K 2-4 p.m. Coldwell Banker
285 Bruce Park #A Greenwich $1.195M 1-3 p.m. Weichert
285 Bruce Park #B Greenwich $1.195M 1-3 p.m. Weichert
201 Cat Rock Road Cos Cob $1.195M 1-4 p.m. BHHs
52 Hunt Terrace Greenwich $1.349M 12-2 p.m. Coldwell Banker
392 Davis Avenue Greenwich $1.395M 1-4 p.m. Raveis
51 Glen Road Greenwich $1.395M 1-3 p.m. BHHS
257 Bruce Park Avenue Greenwich $1.395M 1-3 p.m. Coldwell
7 Osee Place Cos Cob $1.595M 1-3 p.m. Sotheby's
14 Summit Road Riverside $1.595M 1-4 p.m. Sotheby's
24 Irvine Road Old Greenwich $1.795M 2-4 p.m. Anderson
39 Bowman Drive Greenwich $1.89M 1-4 p.m. Raveis
14 Palmer Terrace Riverside $1.975M 1-3 p.m. Raveis
12 Ricki Beth Lane Old Greenwich $1.995M 2-4 p.m. Sotheby's
55 Shore Road Old Greenwich $2.195M 1-3 p.m. Weichert
39 Skylark Road Greenwich $2.2M 1-3 p.m. Houlihan Lawrence
16 Crescent Road Riverside $2.295M 1-4 p.m. Coldwell Banker
285 Bruce Park Avenue Greenwich $2.39M 1-3 p.m. Weichert
88 Dingletown Road Greenwich $2.395M 1-4 p.m. William Pitt Sotheby's
2 Idar Court #A Greenwich $2.475M 2-4 p.m. Coldwell Banker
420 North Street Greenwich $2.795M 1-3 p.m. Sotheby's
9 Tomney Road Greenwich $2.95M 1-4 p.m. BHHS
265 Valley Road Cos Cob $2.995M 1-4 p.m. Higgins Group
7 Gisborne Place Old Greenwich $2.995M 2-4 p.m. Coldwell Banker
603 Steamboat Road #5 Greenwich $3.465M 1-3 p.m. Halstead
70 Sherwood Avenue Greenwich $3.975M 10-6 p.m. (Sat) Charles Paternina
98 North Street Greenwich $3.999M 12-2 p.m. Coldwell Banker
20 Carpenters Brook Greenwich $4.1M 11-3 p.m. Coldwell Banker
10 Esther Place Old Greenwich $4.295M 2-4 p.m. Shore and Country 
31 Owenoke Way Riverside $4.395M 1-4 p.m. BHHS
30 Vineyard Lane Greenwich $5.1M 1-3 p.m. Coldwell Banker

 

 

 

 

Best,                                                                     
                                                                                  
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Mortgage Information

 

 

There are two individuals I feel most confident about when it comes to home mortgages.  One in Manhattan and one in Greenwich.  They are Jeff Ihrig of First Republic in Manhattan, and in Greenwich I prefer Treena David-Chirico of Wells Fargo NMLSR ID 404288.

 

 

Jeff can be reached at 646-372-5181.  Treena's phone number is 203-618-3923.  You can go to her website to input your specific information to receive rates.  Her website is www.wfhm.com/treena-david-chirico.

 

Article originally appeared on jaredrandall (http://www.greenwichrealestateguy.com/).
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