Greenwich CT, Residential Real Estate Blog and Analysis: November 1st
Saturday, November 2, 2013 at 2:28PM
Jared Randall
Greenwich, CT Residential Real Estate Blog and Analysis: 
November 1st
A weekly analysis brought to you by Greenwich Real Estate Guy.
  

The above Shingle Style Colonial home is located at 7 Binney Lane in Old Greenwich.  I will be doing an open house here on Sunday from 1-3 p.m.  Feel free to stop by and say hi.  This is one of the homes that I feel is a value.  This home has beautiful landscaping and a gorgeous pool.  There are seven bedrooms six full baths and two half baths.  There are not many opportunities to have this much space and a pool one of the most prestigious streets in Old Greenwich.  On top of being in a private association there is a great walk out lower level with an au-paire suite, potential wine cellar, and media room.  It is also very important to note this house is not in a flood zone.  The home first came on the market in April of 2011 for $5.495M, and is now currently listed at $3.995M.  This is less than the owners paid for it.  Also, the home is vacant, and typically vacant homes are more flexible in price.  All reasons why I think this is a value.

Currently, we have 616 properties on the market, continuing the trend of declining inventory over the last several weeks.  We continue to see the 0-$3M get more competitive while the over $3M range adds more inventory.  When you look at the charts you will notice that the sold properties continue to outpace the activity from recent years.  However, notice that in the last two months the new listings have out paced recent years.  Hence, the market is improving drastically and the sellers are starting to see this as the time to sell, so we are not seeing a drastic improvement in the amount of inventory.  For the amount of sales that we are seeing we are not seeing a corresponding shift downward in the months on supply (scroll down for the months on supply chart).  My opinion from this is that it is still a great time to move up in price range.  Especially if you are moving from under $3M to over $3M.  

If you did not read last week's post I am still very excited to announce that I have been offered an incredible opportunity to sell real estate for Houlihan Lawrence.  I have been very impressed with the marketing capabilities of Houlihan, as well as their strategic partnerships to help ensure clients are getting their homes marketed as widely as possible.  Read an article that appeared in the Greenwich Patch last month when Houlihan Lawrence entered the marketplace; Houlihan Lawrence CT Presence.  I would be happy to discuss the benefits of Houlihan, and how I can help you buy or sale properties.  If you would like a price evaluation or set up an introductory appointment, please do not hesitate to call or email.  

Below are the Sold Price to List Price percentage for each of the four towns as well as some neighborhood data:

Sold Price vs. List Price

 

  

Neighborhood Data

 

  

 

 Please let me know if you would like me to provide customized information or statistics for you based on your criteria.

**The information on the featured property and all statistical information is from the Greenwich MLS.

**All opinions garnered from the statistics are my own   

Properties Sold

  

For the first few of weeks of October we have sold 60 properties, there were 49 sold properties in October of 2012, so we having a very good October.  We have seen the luxury market bounce back as well, for the first several months we had one property sell over $10M.  We have had 4 properties sell over $10M relatively quickly bringing us to five total for the year.

 

New Listings

We had 24 new listings last week, bringing the total to 94 new properties in October.  October is typically the last month to get properties on the market, before the market slows, which typically happens the week before Thanksgiving.  However, this does show that even though the market is vastly improving the sellers are seeing this as the opportunity to put their house on the market.  Look at the September and October new listings.  October 2013 is through October 25th.

 

 

 

  
Year to Date Sold

 

 We are not seeing a huge change in the percentages as we are towards the end of the year.  However, I think it is important to point out where there are differences in prices ranges that have a flux between the sold and inventory.  For example in the $500K-$1M is 28% of the total sold properties while only 14% of the current inventory.  If we broaden the price ranges we see that 88% of all properties sold this year have been under $3M, while it only accounts for 53% of the current available inventory.
 
Year to Date Available
  

 

In an effort to define the different markets as a good time to buy or sale I believe one needs to look at the months on average it would take to sell through the inventory we have.  I have broken this down by June of 2012 (which is the high in my opinion) to January of 2013 (the low in my opinion) then will add each month as we come to them.   

 

 

Price Range 6/12/13 1/5/13 2/1/13 2/22/13 3/22/13 4/26/13 5/31/13 6/28/13 7/26/13 8/30/13 9/30/13 10/25/13
0-$500K 6.36 4.96 5.76 5.28 5.12 4.95 5.76 5.76 6.24 5.11 5.28 6.08
$500K-$1M 7.98 3.88 4.22 4.22 4.72 5.11 5.5 5.55 5.5 5.16 5.33 5
$1M-$1.5M 11.48 7.22 7.34 7.1 7.22 8.2 9.3 8.81 7.95 7.59 7.95 6.97
$1.5M-$2M 10.86 7 8.55 9.06 8.68 9.44 9.19 8.8 8.5 7.53 7.27 6.25
$2M-$3M 15.27 8.64 9.72 10.2 9.96 12.24 13.8 12.6 12.12 11.76 13.08 11.64
$3M-$4M 21.82 12.4 13.77 16.22 17.55 20.88 22.66 22 20.22 20.22 22 19.77
$4M-$5M 37.33 17.5 16.5 18.5 21.5 27.5 28 27.5 23.5 21.99 24 24.5
$5M-$7.5M 30.92 19.4 20.47 20.47 20.82 23.64 25.76 26.82 26.47 24 26.11 24.7
$7.5M-$10M 57 25.84 22.15 22.15 25.84 26.76 31.38 33.2 32.3 25.84 26.76 27.69
$10M+ 40.21 36 36.85 40.28 38.57 36 38.57 36 31.71 29.14 39.42 40.28

**to calculate months on average in this chart I used the full year of 2012 sold properties in each price range

In the chart above the numbers we have tracked to decide the months on average have been based on last year's sold numbers.  I find it very interesting when comparing the two charts that the under $3M market is even tighter and the over $3M is even slower when you use this year's sold numbers vs last years.  As you see below the $1M-$1.5M and $2M-$3M range has decreased over the last couple of weeks.

 

Price Range 8/30/13 9/30/13 10/25/13
0-$500K 4.26 4.4 5.2
$500K-$1M 4.65 4.9 4.6
$1M-$1.5M 4.96 5.2 4.6
$1.5M-$2M 5.61 5.6 5.1
$2M-$3M 7.84 9.1 8.3
$3M-$4M 20.22 23.4 21.3
$4M-$5M 22 23.9 25.3
$5M-$7.5M 40.8 31.6 26.4
$7.5M-$10M 44.8 52.1 58.8
$10M+ 272 103.2 92.1

 

** to calculate months on average in this chart I used year to date sold properties in each price range.

Obviously the months on average were the lowest at the end of the year 2012.  The uncertainty of the fiscal cliff, as well as the election (most properties that closed in December were negotiated before election was finalized), and uncertainty of taxes.  Not to mention if people are going to take their house off of the market they will tend to do it over the holidays. 

Open Houses November 3rd
  
 
Below are all of the Greenwich Open Houses for Sunday.  Please note the first three are rentals.  Come by and say hi at 7 Binney Lane, Old Greenwich as I will be hosting an open house from 1-3 p.m.
Address Town Price Time Broker
4 Lafayette Court #3D Greenwich $3.3K 2-4 PM BHHS01
15 River Road #210 Cos Cob $3.55K 1-3 PM COBA01
57 Hillside Drive Greenwich $7.9K 2-4 PM COBA01
3 Putnam Hill #4F Greenwich $290K 1-3 PM COBA01
1465 E Putnam Avenue #115 Old Greenwich $355K 1-3 PM COBA01
9 River Road #418 Cos Cob $595K 2-4 PM SCIA01
46 Chapel Street Greenwich $599K 1-4 PM BHHS01
15 River Road #210 Cos Cob $729K 1-3 PM COBA01
24 Caroline Place Greenwich $795K 2-5 PM OGIL01
70 Riverdale Avenue #701 Greenwich $859K 2-4 PM COBA01
189 Old Mill Road Greenwich $995K 1-3 PM ROUN01
123 E Elm Street Greenwich $1.195M 1-3 PM COBA02
67 Sound Beach Avenue Old Greenwich $1.25M 1-3 PM COBA01
54 Hawthorne Street North Greenwich $1.25M 2-4 PM COBA01
15 Stonebrook Lane Cos Cob $1.45M 12-3 PM ROUN01
30 Stonebrook Lane Cos Cob $1.495M 2-4 PM HLAW01
57 Hillside Drive Greenwich $1.699M 2-4 PM COBA01
469 Taconic Road Greenwich $1.783M 1-4 PM WEIC01
2 William Street Riverside $1.79M 1-3 PM HLAW01
47 N Stanwich Road Greenwich $2.299M 2-3:30 PM  RAVE02
55 Shore Road Old Greenwich $2.349M 1-4 PM WEIC01
54 Glenville Road Greenwich $2.395M 2-4 PM HLAW01
58 Park Avenue South Old Greenwich $2.449M 1-3 PM SCPR01
71 Shore Road Old Greenwich $2.995M 1-4 PM BHHS01
46 Will Merry Lane Greenwich $2.995M 11-1:30 PM BHHS02
900 Lake Avenue Greenwich $3.195M 1-4 PM RAVE01
72 Shore Road Old Greenwich $3.275M 2-4 PM RAVE02
16 Binney Lane Old Greenwich $3.745M 2-4 PM RAVE02
7 Binney Lane Old Greenwich $3.995M 1-3 PM HLAW01
20 West End Avenue Old Greenwich $4.189M 1-4 PM KAVO01
396 North Street Greenwich $4.2M 1-3 PM BHHS01
150 Clapboard Ridge Road Greenwich $4.295M 2-4 PM  RAVE01
30 Oneida Drive Greenwich $4.55M 2-4 PM COBA01

 

 

 

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Mortgage Information

 

There are two individuals I feel most confident about when it comes to home mortgages.  One in Manhattan and one in Greenwich.  They are Jeff Ihrig of First Republic in Manhatan, and in Greenwich I prefer Treena David-Chirico of Wells Fargo.

 

Jeff can be reached at 646-372-5181.  Treena's phone number is 203-618-3923.  You can go to her website to input your specific information to receive rates.  Her website is www.wfhm.com/treena-david-chirico.

 

 

 

 

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