Greenwich CT, Residential Real Estate Blog and Analysis: November 15th
Saturday, November 16, 2013 at 11:16AM
Jared Randall
Greenwich, CT Residential Real Estate Blog and Analysis: 
November 15th
A weekly analysis brought to you by Greenwich Real Estate Guy.
  

 

 

The above pictured shingle style home is located at 26 Glen Avon Drive.  Glen Avon is a beautiful quiet street in Riverside.  It makes a horseshoe off of Club Road, which is the road where the Riverside Yacht Club is located.  Not only is the location perfect for quiet walks overlooking the water at sunset, but the house stands out as well.  The home sits on .84 of an acre making it an oversized lot.  I envision this house being the center of all of the kids in the neighborhood.  The back yard has it's own basketball court, and still room for a great patio and lawn, perfect for entertaining.  Inside the home boasts six bedrooms, five full baths and one half bath, as well as three fireplaces.  The master suite holds one of the fireplaces, as well as his and her walk in closets, a steam shower, and separate vanities.  The home is listed as 5,371 s.f. but that does not include the lower level which has a walk out playroom, bath room, and mud room.  While walking through the home it just felt right, from envisioning the neighborhood kids shooting hoops, to walking out your door to a picturesque walk, it left an impression.  The home is listed at $4.85M.

 

Currently, we have 596 properties on the market, continuing the trend of declining inventory over the last several weeks.  If you look at my blog from the end of September we had 656 properties, which is an 10 percent decrease in total inventory in the last month.  We continue to see the 0-$3M get more competitive while the over $3M range adds more inventory.  When looking below at the charts, I feel this shows how much better our market is this year over the same time last year.  When looking specifically at the October numbers, we had 98 new properties this year, compared to 92 new properties in October of last year.  As you can see not too much of a difference (only 6%).  However, when looking at sold, we had 49 properties sold last year in October, and have sold 68 this October, a resounding increase (38%). 

 

If you did not read last week's post I am still very excited to announce that I have been offered an incredible opportunity to sell real estate for Houlihan Lawrence.  I have been very impressed with the marketing capabilities of Houlihan, as well as their strategic partnerships to help ensure clients are getting their homes marketed as widely as possible.  Read an article that appeared in the Greenwich Patch last month when Houlihan Lawrence entered the marketplace; Houlihan Lawrence CT Presence.  I would be happy to discuss the benefits of Houlihan, and how I can help you buy or sale properties.  If you would like a price evaluation or set up an introductory appointment, please do not hesitate to call or email.  

 

Below are the Sold Price to List Price percentage for each of the four towns as well as some neighborhood data:

 

Sold Price vs. List Price

 

  

Neighborhood Data

 

  

 

 

  

 

 

Please let me know if you would like me to provide customized information or statistics for you based on your criteria.

 

**The information on the featured property and all statistical information is from the Greenwich MLS.

 

**All opinions garnered from the statistics are my own

 

 

   
Properties Sold

  

Once again we seem to be looking like we will outpace the last few years in November as well.  Last year we had a huge push in sold properties in November and December because of the uncertainty in the presidential elections and the fiscal cliff.  However, we seem to be keeping up with November.

 

New Listings

In the first week and a half of November we have had 33 new properties and sold 21 properties.  Both are trending higher than recent years.

 

 

 

  
Year to Date Sold

 

 We are not seeing a huge change in the percentages as we are towards the end of the year.  However, I think it is important to point out where there are differences in prices ranges that have a flux between the sold and inventory.  
 
Year to Date Available
  

 

In an effort to define the different markets as a good time to buy or sale I believe one needs to look at the months on average it would take to sell through the inventory we have.  I have broken this down by June of 2012 (which is the high in my opinion) to January of 2013 (the low in my opinion) then will add each month as we come to them.   

 

 

Price Range 6/12/13 1/5/13 2/1/13 2/22/13 3/22/13 4/26/13 5/31/13 6/28/13 7/26/13 8/30/13 9/30/13 10/31/13
0-$500K 6.36 4.96 5.76 5.28 5.12 4.95 5.76 5.76 6.24 5.11 5.28 6.08
$500K-$1M 7.98 3.88 4.22 4.22 4.72 5.11 5.5 5.55 5.5 5.16 5.33 5
$1M-$1.5M 11.48 7.22 7.34 7.1 7.22 8.2 9.3 8.81 7.95 7.59 7.95 6.97
$1.5M-$2M 10.86 7 8.55 9.06 8.68 9.44 9.19 8.8 8.5 7.53 7.27 6.25
$2M-$3M 15.27 8.64 9.72 10.2 9.96 12.24 13.8 12.6 12.12 11.76 13.08 11.64
$3M-$4M 21.82 12.4 13.77 16.22 17.55 20.88 22.66 22 20.22 20.22 22 19.77
$4M-$5M 37.33 17.5 16.5 18.5 21.5 27.5 28 27.5 23.5 21.99 24 24.5
$5M-$7.5M 30.92 19.4 20.47 20.47 20.82 23.64 25.76 26.82 26.47 24 26.11 24.7
$7.5M-$10M 57 25.84 22.15 22.15 25.84 26.76 31.38 33.2 32.3 25.84 26.76 27.69
$10M+ 40.21 36 36.85 40.28 38.57 36 38.57 36 31.71 29.14 39.42 40.28

 

 

 

**to calculate months on average in this chart I used the full year of 2012 sold properties in each price range
 
In the chart above the numbers we have tracked to decide the months on average have been based on last year's sold numbers.  I find it very interesting when comparing the two charts that the under $3M market is even tighter and the over $3M is even slower when you use this year's sold numbers vs last years.  As you see below the $1M-$1.5M and $2M-$3M range has decreased over the last couple of weeks.

 

 

 

Price Range 8/30/13 9/30/13 10/31/13
0-$500K 4.26 4.4 5.2
$500K-$1M 4.65 4.9 4.6
$1M-$1.5M 4.96 5.2 4.6
$1.5M-$2M 5.61 5.6 5.1
$2M-$3M 7.84 9.1 8.3
$3M-$4M 20.22 23.4 21.3
$4M-$5M 22 23.9 25.3
$5M-$7.5M 40.8 31.6 26.4
$7.5M-$10M 44.8 52.1 58.8
$10M+ 272 103.2 92.1

 

 

 

 

** to calculate months on average in this chart I used year to date sold properties in each price range.

 


Obviously the months on average were the lowest at the end of the year 2012.  The uncertainty of the fiscal cliff, as well as the election (most properties that closed in December were negotiated before election was finalized), and uncertainty of taxes.  Not to mention if people are going to take their house off of the market they will tend to do it over the holidays.

 

 

 

 

 


Open Houses November 17th
  
 
Below are all of the Greenwich Open Houses for Sunday.  The first is a rental.  21 Wyngate is a land listing.  I will be hosting the open house at 7 Binney Lane in Old Greenwich.  Unfortunately, there is not a link for the rental 28 Mianus View Terrace.

 

 

Address Town Price Time Broker
28 Mianus View Terrace Cos Cob $6.5K 1-4 p.m. OGIL01
52 Lafayette Place #4B Greenwich $280K 2-4 p.m. RAVE01
1535 E. Putnam Avenue #301 Old Greenwich $300K 2-4 p.m. RAVE02
47 Lafayette Place #3H Greenwich $495K 2-4 p.m. SOTH01
203 River Run #203 Greenwich $495K 1-3 p.m. RAVE01
561 River Road Cos Cob $799K 1-3 p.m. RAVE01
70 Riverdale Rod #701 Greenwich $859K 2-4 p.m. COBA01
30 Caroline Place Greenwich $1.195M 1-4 p.m. RAVE01
49 Indian Mill Road Cos Cob $1.295M 1-3 p.m. RAVE01
11 Steep Hollow Lane Cos Cob $1.349M 1-3 p.m. GRFP01
11 Sunshine Avenue Riverside $1.399M 1-4 p.m. BHHS
41 Leonard Avenue Riverside $1.495M 1-4 p.m. BHHS01
30 Stag Lane Greenwich $1.595M 1-3 p.m. RAVE01
236 Bedford Lane Greenwich $1.595M 1-4 p.m. BHHS02
43 Stag Lane Greenwich $1.745M 2-4 p.m. SOTH01
21 Wyngate Road Greenwich $1.995M 2-4 p.m. SOTH01
16 Fairview Terrace
70 Baldwin Farms South
Greenwich
Greenwich
$1.995M
$2.195M
1-4 p.m.
1-4 p.m.
BHHS01
GRFP01
48 Highview Avenue
36 Winthrop Drive
Old Greenwich
Riverside
$2.199M
$2.25M
1-3 p.m.
1-4 p.m.
RAVE02
RAVE02
55 Shore Road Old Greenwich $2.349M 1-3 p.m. WEIC01
17 Hawkwood Lane Greenwich $2.59M 1-3 p.m. COBA01
27 Perkins Lane Greenwich $2.795M 2-4 p.m. SOTH01
76 Cat Rock Road Greenwich $2.999M 2-4 p.m. SOTH01
10 Gilliam Lane Riverside $3.3M 2-4 p.m. SOTH01
241 Riverside Avenue Riverside $3.3M 2-4 p.m. SOTH01
20 Marks Road Riverside $3.595M 1-3 p.m. BHHS01
7 Hearthstone Drive Riverside $3.6M 2-4 p.m. COBA02
20 West End Avenue Old Greenwich $3.899M 1-3 p.m. KAVO01
7 Binney Lane Old Greenwich $3.995M 2-4 p.m. HLAW01
41 Baldwin Farms South Greenwich $4.5M 2-4 p.m. SOTH01
26 Glen Avon Drive Riverside $4.85M 1-4 p.m. HLAW01
18 Chimney Corner Lane Greenwich $11.25M 1-3 p.m. COBA01

 

 

 

 

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Mortgage Information

 

There are two individuals I feel most confident about when it comes to home mortgages.  One in Manhattan and one in Greenwich.  They are Jeff Ihrig of First Republic in Manhatan, and in Greenwich I prefer Treena David-Chirico of Wells Fargo.

 

Jeff can be reached at 646-372-5181.  Treena's phone number is 203-618-3923.  You can go to her website to input your specific information to receive rates.  Her website is www.wfhm.com/treena-david-chirico.

 

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