Greenwich Real Estate Guy: Greenwich CT-Residential Analysis and Blog: 10/5/12
Saturday, October 6, 2012 at 12:04PM
Jared Randall
Greenwich, CT Residential Real Estate Analysis: October 5th
A weekly analysis brought to you by The Greenwich Real Estate Guy.
20 Maplewood

 

The above ranch is located at 20 Maplewood Drive in Cos Cob.  I feel this is a great value.  I love the location of this house for the price of $895K.  It is within walking distance to Cos Cob train station and shops.  When walking through the house it had a newer feel than that of the year 1957 when it was built.  The owners have obviously done renovations, that included refinishing the floors.  They are also in the process of renovating a walk out bonus room on the lower level which is an additional 507 s.f. to the 1,601 s.f. of the home.  The kitchen may need some renovating, but with the location and the renovations, I feel it is a great value.  The lot is on the smaller size with .18 of an acre.

 

The goal of this newsletter has always been to inform buyers and sellers alike.  Clients are always asking when is the right time to buy or sell.  My personal opinion is there is not a better time to buy than right now.  We know that regardless of who is president the Obama Healthcare plan that was passed, contains a federal transfer tax of 3.8% to go into affect January 1.  On top of that the Bush tax cuts are scheduled to expire at the end of the year.  If one, assumes a 60 day close and would want to spare the 3.8% transfer tax, they would need to be in contracts by the end of the month.  Which leaves only a few weeks to find the right house, negotiate a price, get inspections, and sign contracts to close by the end of the year.

 

As you will see by looking at the charts below, we are seeing the sold properties grow continually over the last three months vs the sold properties in the same time period last year.  For the last three months we are about 25% higher in sold properties than we were in 2011.  However, we are seeing more new listings than we did last year.  In my opinion this is a sign that things are in the beginning stages of improving.  We have sold 25% more in July-September than we did last year, but just as important is we have not sold more properties than the amount of new listings coming onto the market.  So, even though it is encouraging we have more activity, until the sold properties outnumber the new inventory we will not see much change as the excess inventory is not declining.  My personal opinion is we will start to see closed properties outnumber (or close to it) the new listings in the last quarter, and work into a more competitive 2013.

 

Please let me know if you would like me to provide customized information or statistics for you based on your criteria.

 

**The information on the featured property and all statistical information is from the Greenwich MLS.

 

**All opinions garnered from the statistics are my own

 

 

Properties Sold

sold 10/05 

We have seen an impressive number of closings over the last two weeks.  September 2012 had a strong ending, finishing up 25% and October is off to a hot start with 15 closings.  In all of October last year there were only 32 closings and we have had 15 in the first five days this October.  To reiterate the point above, we also had 16 new listings, so it is a positive sign, but we are not yet eating into the excess inventory.

 

New Listings
newlistings 10/05
We have had 16 new listings so far this month, which is inline with the 71 we had last October.

 

  
Year to Date Soldytdsold1005

 

Surprisingly we saw a one percentage change here and there, which is hard to believe this late in the year.  However, over the last week we saw 9 properties sold in the $500K-$1M range raising the ytd number to 164 from 155.  The second biggest gain was the $1.5M-$2M range where 8 properties traded over the last week.  The $5M-$7.5M range rose one percent as two properties sold over the last week.

 

 

Year to Date Available
currentavailable1005  

 

In an effort to define the different markets as a good time to buy or sale I believe one needs to look at the months on average it would take to sell through the inventory we have.  We are currently 38 weeks through the year. In the $0-$500K range we have 7.33 months on average to sell through. $500K-$1M  we have 6.09 months.  Another drop of a week, continuing to be our most competitive price range.  In the $1M-$1.5M we have 10.8 months. $1.5M-$2M we have 8.43 months.  This showing a huge drop of one month from 9.5 months last week. $2M-$3M we have 11.21 months.  $3M-$4M we have 17.1 weeks. $4M-$5M we have 24.75 months. $5M-$7.5M we have 23.5 months. $7.5-$10M we have 34 months providing a gain of one month.  $10M and above we have 36.66 months.  

 

Open Houses October 7th
  
 

Below are all of the Greenwich Open Houses for Sunday.  If you click on the link it will take you to the listing.  Enjoy your weekend.

 

 

 

 

Address Town List Price Time Broker
5 Station Drive Greenwich $6,300/mo 1-4 PM Prudential
48 Arcadia Road Old Greenwich $11,500/mo 1-3 PM Coldwell Bnkr
1465 E Putnam Ave #329 Old Greenwich $449K 2-4 PM Coldwell Bnkr
184 Peck Ave #2 Greenwich $455K 2-4 PM Coldwell Bnkr
21 Cary Road Riverside $499K 1-3 PM Coldwell Bnkr
207 Sheephill Road Riverside $525K 2-4 PM Shore & Cntry
51 Forest Ave #156 Old Greenwich $680K 1-4 PM FF Realty
67 Long Meadow Road Riverside $1.1M 1-3 PM Coldwell Bnkr
21 Mallard Drive Greenwich $1.199M 1-4 PM Coldwell Bnkr
274 North St Greenwich $1.28M 1-4 PM Prudential
6 Indian Pass Greenwich $1.499M 1-3 PM Shore & Cntry
30 Stonebrook Lane Cos Cob $1.68M 1-4 PM Raveis
1 Idar Court Greenwich $1.995M 1-3 PM Reloc Grp
48 Arcadia Road Old Greenwich $2.479M 1-3 PM Coldwell Bnkr
11 Grimes Rd Old Greenwich $2.575M 2-4 PM Coldwell Bnkr
1333 King Street Greenwich $3.895M 1-4 PM Coldwell Bnkr
313 Stanwich Road Greenwich $3.95M 2:30-4:30  Coldwell Bnkr
450 North St Greenwich $4.5M 2-4 PM Summit
504 North Street Greenwich $6.85M 2-4 PM Coldwell Bnkr
122 Old Church Road Greenwich $8.5M 12-2 PM Coldwell Bnkr
500 Lake Ave Greenwich $8.9M 2-4 PM Sotheby's
  

 

Mortgage Information

 

The two individuals I feel most confident about when it comes to home mortgages are Jeff Ihrig of First Republic in the city and Iliad Estrada of Connecticut Home Mortgage.

 

Jeff can be reached at 646-372-5181.

 

Rates below courtesy of Iliad Estrada.  She can be reached at 203-637-6202.

 

  

CT Mortgage Rates

Product

Interest Rates

Annual Percentage Rate

15 YR Fixed Conforming

2.625%

2.863%

30 YR Fixed Conforming

3.375%

3.514%

30 Year Fixed Agency  Jumbo

n/a

n/a

30 YR  Fixed Jumbo

3.990%

4.116%

5/1 YR ARM Conforming

2.250%

3.081%

5/1 YR ARM Jumbo

2.250%

3.060%

10/1 YR ARM Jumbo

3.375%

3.453%

 *as of July 15th
Article originally appeared on jaredrandall (http://www.greenwichrealestateguy.com/).
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